Earthquake Information for Modesto, California

Modesto, CA has a high earthquake risk, with a total of 123 earthquakes since 1931. The USGS database shows that there is a 73.62% chance of a major earthquake within 50km of Modesto, CA within the next 50 years. The largest earthquake within 30 miles of Modesto, CA was a 4.8 Magnitude in 2021.

Risk Level:
High

Total Number of Earthquakes in Modesto since 1931 within 30 miles

123

Probability of A 5.0 Earthquake within next 50 years

73.62%

Most Recent
Largest

4/14/2024 - 2.9 mag, -0.2mi depth 9.56028 mi from Westley, CA
4/5/2024 - 1.9 mag, -0.4mi depth 14.4154 mi from Patterson, CA
1/27/2024 - 2.7 mag, -0.5mi depth 8.25479 mi from Westley, CA
1/16/2024 - 1.7 mag, -0.5mi depth 12.2423 mi from Patterson, CA
9/26/2023 - 1.7 mag, 1.3mi depth 10.9856 mi from Patterson, CA
9/24/2023 - 1.6 mag, -0.4mi depth 8.80172 mi from Westley, CA
9/23/2023 - 3.3 mag, 1.8mi depth 9.17241 mi from Patterson, CA
9/23/2023 - 1.7 mag, 1.8mi depth 10.744 mi from Patterson, CA
9/20/2023 - 2.0 mag, -0.1mi depth 5.90527 mi from Westley, CA
9/20/2023 - 2.0 mag, 5.0mi depth 7.61655 mi from Westley, CA
9/19/2023 - 3.1 mag, 0.3mi depth 8.99848 mi from Patterson, CA
9/19/2023 - 1.6 mag, 4.5mi depth 7.87824 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.9 mag, 0.9mi depth 8.60922 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 2.1 mag, 5.2mi depth 7.12742 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.6 mag, 0.1mi depth 9.4745 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 1.6 mag, 1.5mi depth 9.87319 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 4.4 mag, 2.8mi depth 8.75172 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 1.9 mag, 2.4mi depth 10.3418 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.2 mag, 1.4mi depth 8.97499 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 1.8 mag, 3.8mi depth 6.76019 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 2.1 mag, 2.1mi depth 7.45715 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 1.6 mag, 2.3mi depth 9.97586 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.2 mag, 1.9mi depth 9.8484 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 2.0 mag, -0.2mi depth 5.73208 mi from Patterson, CA
9/7/2023 - 1.8 mag, 0.9mi depth 10.5895 mi from Westley, CA
9/6/2023 - 1.9 mag, -0.5mi depth 10.4583 mi from Westley, CA
8/31/2023 - 1.8 mag, 1.4mi depth 10.3639 mi from Patterson, CA
8/30/2023 - 3.6 mag, -0.1mi depth 9.35475 mi from Westley, CA
5/31/2023 - 2.3 mag, 24.5mi depth 8.43094 mi from Westley, CA
1/19/2023 - 2.5 mag, 2.1mi depth 2.52704 mi from Grayson, CA
12/13/2022 - 1.5 mag, 5.4mi depth 10.8418 mi from Westley, CA
12/4/2022 - 1.2 mag, 4.6mi depth 14.8576 mi from Westley, CA
10/24/2022 - 2.3 mag, 12.7mi depth 5.32491 mi from Grayson, CA
10/13/2022 - 1.0 mag, 6.9mi depth 14.0758 mi from Westley, CA
4/15/2022 - 2.2 mag, 22.7mi depth 4.76274 mi from Newman, CA
3/3/2022 - 1.5 mag, 2.0mi depth 13.7254 mi from Patterson, CA
11/26/2021 - 1.3 mag, 13.5mi depth 14.8259 mi from Westley, CA
9/15/2021 - 2.2 mag, 1.4mi depth 5.22107 mi from Newman, CA
9/14/2021 - 1.0 mag, 7.6mi depth 12.5524 mi from Westley, CA
8/6/2021 - 2.2 mag, 14.8mi depth 8.06243 mi from Copperopolis, CA
7/16/2021 - 1.5 mag, 2.4mi depth 0.593116 mi from Waterford, CA
7/15/2021 - 2.5 mag, 1.7mi depth 1.9887 mi from Oakdale, CA
7/11/2021 - 2.1 mag, 2.7mi depth 5.13383 mi from Newman, CA
7/8/2021 - 4.8 mag, 8.0mi depth 7.02892 mi from Farmington, CA
4/26/2021 - 2.0 mag, 0.1mi depth 2.60172 mi from Newman, CA
11/1/2020 - 1.8 mag, 11.9mi depth 10.2222 mi from Patterson, CA
9/27/2020 - 1.6 mag, 4.6mi depth 13.49 mi from Patterson, CA
9/15/2020 - 0.9 mag, 6.4mi depth 10.9414 mi from Westley, CA
8/7/2020 - 1.5 mag, 8.0mi depth 2.55152 mi from Mountain House, CA
7/8/2020 - 1.3 mag, 12.4mi depth 11.8724 mi from Westley, CA

7/8/2021 - 4.8 mag, 8.0mi depth 7.02892 mi from Farmington, CA
9/18/2023 - 4.4 mag, 2.8mi depth 8.75172 mi from Westley, CA
9/7/1994 - 4.1 mag, 3.0mi depth 3.8005 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.9 mag, 0.9mi depth 8.60922 mi from Westley, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.6 mag, 0.1mi depth 9.4745 mi from Westley, CA
8/30/2023 - 3.6 mag, -0.1mi depth 9.35475 mi from Westley, CA
9/5/1976 - 3.5 mag, 9.0mi depth 8.4449 mi from Tracy, CA
2/25/2007 - 3.5 mag, 6.6mi depth 3.0843 mi from Newman, CA
1/8/1998 - 3.4 mag, 0.6mi depth 1.633 mi from Diablo Grande, CA
10/13/1977 - 3.4 mag, 2.0mi depth 4.4926 mi from Monterey Park Tract, CA
2/20/1975 - 3.4 mag, 6.0mi depth 4.6696 mi from Diablo Grande, CA
9/23/2023 - 3.3 mag, 1.8mi depth 9.17241 mi from Patterson, CA
7/24/2009 - 3.2 mag, 5.6mi depth 2.9942 mi from Newman, CA
10/15/2010 - 3.2 mag, 14.7mi depth 6.0791 mi from Lathrop, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.2 mag, 1.4mi depth 8.97499 mi from Patterson, CA
9/18/2023 - 3.2 mag, 1.9mi depth 9.8484 mi from Patterson, CA
2/3/1991 - 3.1 mag, 12.0mi depth 2.036 mi from Manteca, CA
9/19/2023 - 3.1 mag, 0.3mi depth 8.99848 mi from Patterson, CA
9/30/2003 - 3.0 mag, 4.4mi depth 2.5389 mi from Diablo Grande, CA
10/7/1991 - 3.0 mag, 7.0mi depth 9.9861 mi from Westley, CA
10/6/1976 - 3.0 mag, 2.0mi depth 6.5187 mi from Tracy, CA
9/20/1996 - 3.0 mag, 0.1mi depth 1.6307 mi from Newman, CA
4/14/2024 - 2.9 mag, -0.2mi depth 9.56028 mi from Westley, CA
1/12/1994 - 2.9 mag, 10.6mi depth 3.2644 mi from Tracy, CA
10/16/2011 - 2.9 mag, 4.0mi depth 6.7327 mi from Crows Landing, CA
2/4/1991 - 2.8 mag, 11.0mi depth 1.7035 mi from Manteca, CA
2/7/2010 - 2.8 mag, 9.3mi depth 4.3424 mi from Newman, CA
9/3/2002 - 2.8 mag, 14.8mi depth 4.1872 mi from Tracy, CA
7/14/1987 - 2.8 mag, 4.0mi depth 6.647 mi from Westley, CA
1/27/2024 - 2.7 mag, -0.5mi depth 8.25479 mi from Westley, CA
1/21/2016 - 2.7 mag, 17.6mi depth 3.86803 mi from Lathrop, CA
10/25/2012 - 2.6 mag, 9.3mi depth 4.4396 mi from Tracy, CA
1/4/2018 - 2.6 mag, 2.2mi depth 13.6473 mi from Westley, CA
2/20/2020 - 2.6 mag, 0.6mi depth 6.69827 mi from Gustine, CA
12/1/2017 - 2.6 mag, 4.3mi depth 5.91078 mi from Chinese Camp, CA
10/16/2017 - 2.5 mag, 11.1mi depth 10.0715 mi from Patterson, CA
1/19/2023 - 2.5 mag, 2.1mi depth 2.52704 mi from Grayson, CA
5/26/2019 - 2.5 mag, 30.9mi depth 5.72931 mi from Newman, CA
4/24/1990 - 2.5 mag, 9.0mi depth 9.6916 mi from Westley, CA
7/15/2021 - 2.5 mag, 1.7mi depth 1.9887 mi from Oakdale, CA
10/7/2009 - 2.5 mag, 2.2mi depth 2.9134 mi from Diablo Grande, CA
11/6/2013 - 2.4 mag, 12.7mi depth 5.3761 mi from Westley, CA
10/24/2022 - 2.3 mag, 12.7mi depth 5.32491 mi from Grayson, CA
5/31/2023 - 2.3 mag, 24.5mi depth 8.43094 mi from Westley, CA
11/5/2015 - 2.3 mag, 5.6mi depth 11.0158 mi from Patterson, CA
12/27/2014 - 2.3 mag, 1.0mi depth 13.6203 mi from Patterson, CA
4/15/2022 - 2.2 mag, 22.7mi depth 4.76274 mi from Newman, CA
9/15/2021 - 2.2 mag, 1.4mi depth 5.22107 mi from Newman, CA
4/21/2018 - 2.2 mag, -0.6mi depth 8.55821 mi from Westley, CA
8/22/2017 - 2.2 mag, 1.0mi depth 4.48692 mi from Livingston, CA

View All

Earthquake Probability for Modesto, CA

View the probability of a major earthquake within the next 50 years in Modesto, CA.

Probability of Earthquakes Within the Next 50 Years For Magnitudes Between 5.0 and 9.2

(within 31 km/51 miles above magnitude)

5.0

73.62%

5.1

67.52%

5.2

67.52%

5.2

61.37%

5.3

55.39%

5.4

49.71%

5.5

44.43%

5.6

39.63%

5.7

35.32%

5.8

31.50%

5.9

28.15%

6.0

25.25%

6.1

22.08%

6.2

19.34%

6.3

16.84%

6.4

14.38%

6.5

11.45%

6.6

7.01%

6.7

4.49%

6.8

2.60%

6.9

1.31%

7.0

0.20%

7.1

0.03%

7.2

0.01%

7.3

0.01%

7.4

0.00%

7.5

0.00%

7.6

0.00%

7.7

0.00%

7.8

0.00%

7.9

0.00%

8.0

0.00%

8.1

0.00%

8.2

0.00%

8.3

0.00%

8.4

0.00%

8.5

0.00%

8.6

0.00%

8.7

0.00%

8.8

0.00%

8.9

0.00%

9.0

0.00%

9.1

0.00%

9.2

0.00%

Earthquake Count for Modesto, CA

View the number of earthquake incidents in Modesto, CA by year that are more than 2.5 Magnitude.

List of Earthquake Incidents for Modesto, CA

Total Number of Earthquakes in Modesto, CA within 30 miles. All distances and depths in the table are measured in miles.

04/14/2024

2.9

-0.2

9.56

Earthquake Information for Modesto, California

Earthquake Probability for Modesto, CA

Probability of Earthquakes Within the Next 50 Years For Magnitudes Between 5.0 and 9.2

Earthquake Count for Modesto, CA

List of Earthquake Incidents for Modesto, CA

Risk Of Natural Disasters In Modesto, CA

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